BALTIMORE ā Itās 9:30 a.m. on a typical mid-Atlantic, January morning — the temperature having not yet clawed its way above freezing, the wind chill somewhere below that, as hundreds of orange- and-black-clad hopefuls and die-hards stand, shiver and stomp their feet outside the Convention Center at Baltimore Orioles FanFest Saturday, waiting for hope.
One such fan is an adolescent boy, no older than 14, wearing a flop of blond hair, a hoodie ⦠and shorts. Yes, shorts. Heās of that age, old enough that the allegiances that bond us to cities and laundry in ways that are hard to explain to loved ones have already set into their lifelong, concrete mold.
Itās that kind of blind optimism ā shorts in winter, that is ā that might be required of Orioles fans these days. But at least the sun is out and the skies are blue, which might be enough to help you remember that it will, eventually, be warm enough to play baseball again, a fact that itself is at least worth looking forward to, even if itās hard to find much else heading into the 2019 season.
The Orioles werenāt bad in 2018. They were historically, achingly bad. They lost 115 games, more than any team in the 118 years of the franchiseās existence. They finished 61 games out of first place, further back than the 1962 Mets, more games behind than any Major League team since 1942. At the end of the season, they fired their longtime manager and general manager. They are lying on the cold, cellar floor of the sport, with everything above and nothing but four feet of solid concrete below.
But the view can only improve.
That was the sentiment at FanFest. As Bridgett Graves, a lifelong fan who grew up walking distance from Oriole Park in Pigtown, waited for new GM Mike Elias and new manager Brandon Hyde to speak, she exuded optimism.
āIt felt different this year, because theyāve made a lot of changes,ā she said. āIt just feels positive, for the better.ā
She was even idealistic that the team would be competitive.
āIām just hoping that we make it to the World Series.ā
Elias, a 36 year-old Yale graduate originally from Alexandria, was far more measured in his expectations for the club in his first year.
āI want to see the overall talent level up and down this organization go up,ā he told the expectant fans.
As for making moves to win this season, Elias said heād eschew any transaction that he deemed ānot strategically relevantā to that long-term goal. Later, with the media, he continued to talk in positive, boardroom generalities.
āWeāve got some ideas in mind for what might make sense for what weāre trying to do for improving the club this year, and also possibly advancing some of our longer-term strategic goals.ā
Thatās not exactly Davey Johnsonās infamous 2013 āWorld Series or bustā aspiration or bombast. But itās what one should expect from someone of Eliasās pedigree, especially given the situation heās walked into.
Neither his nor Hydeās hire feel accidental. Elias helped the Astros through their teardown and rebuild that culminated in the 2017 World Series title. Hyde was a part of Joe Maddonās staff that helped engineer their revival and a 2016 World Championship. Part of hiring people with those histories is selling the hope that, just maybe, the same thing can happen here. But Elias was careful to caution against even that.
āBrandon went through this with the Cubs, and I went through this with the Astros. And both of those rebuilding processes went incredibly fast. I canāt say that thatās always going to be the case with these things,ā he said.

Itās true that the conditions arenāt nearly the same for the Orioles, or MLB at large, as they were five years ago. So many teams have elected not to seriously compete, to largely or entirely sit out free agency, maximizing their revenues instead of their wins. That means more fish swimming the same way through rebuilding (or ārebuilding,ā for those that continue to tear down before they ever really get competitive) and less willing to pay out in prospects or take on the salary of aging veterans. It can mean a tougher market to thrive in.
āIām hopeful that we can do it, I know what we need to do in order to get there, but thereās going to be a lot of things happening here, depending on who we draft, how they do, how well they progress, how well the players here progress, whoās in the minor league system right now,ā said Elias, making mention of Jose Altuve, Dallas Keuchel and George Springer, all of whom were already in the system when Houston began its rebuild.
āThe most important thing for us is that we set a course, we remain disciplined toward our decision making and we all work hard and do a good job and I think weāll get there and get there in the right amount of time.ā
The club did an admirable job of scaling the event to use just the right amount of the Convention Center that it always seemed busy without being overly crowded. Giveaways were plentiful, attendees carrying armloads of new gear. But the attendance figure tells the story. After drawing north of 15,000 fans in , that number . On Saturday, just 8,000 fans attended.
Elias was unabashedly impressed with the fans that did attend, though.
āI couldnāt believe the line around the building,ā he said. āWeāre coming off a bad year, and to see that type of enthusiasm and support, just for the new people that are here and just for the franchise in general, is incredible.ā
Father and son Jim and Daniel Hott and Danielās cousin Justin Schellhaus of Cumberland, Maryland were some of those fans. As a lifelong fan, Schellhaus wasnāt surprised by the enthusiasm, despite the ebb of the teamās competitive arc.
āNo matter what year it is or how bad or good we do, youāre going to have fans that are still die-hards, and are still going to be out there in the freezing cold to come into this,ā he said. āBecause it is exciting, to get back into the groove of things again, and everybody misses Opening Day and counts down to it.ā
The elder Hott was specifically excited about Elias and his track record.
āHopefully heās going to come in and get our minor leagues started,ā said Hott. āItās gonna be a rough year, or two, or three, but weāre on the right track.ā
Both Elias and Hyde stressed the kind of player they were looking for in their remarks to fans. Fielding a question about certain unnamed veterans perceived not to have hustled, Hyde wasnāt shy to vocalize his opinion.
āYeah, itās a pet peeve of mine, too. So we share that.ā
Elias, meanwhile, talked about finding prospects with āgood characterā or āmakeup,ā saying that the ability to continue to grow and take direction was crucial to surviving the minor, and eventually major, leagues.
āWe try to look for guys that are built for that,ā he said.
And maybe thereās something to that for this team right now. Nobodyās selling wins, but maybe selling hustle and heart works for the kind of fans who would stand out in freezing weather for the chance to hear the front office speak more than the players on the team itself. Maybe hope is powerful enough to overcome the winter cold. After all, spring is just around the corner.